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The Wealth S-Curve That’s Driving Current Global Macro Trends

The graph above shows a logistic function that maps out a sigmoid curve… otherwise known as an S-curve. This function was popularized by mid-19th century scientist Pierre Francois Verhulst who applied it in his study of population growth. Verhulst found that population growth follows a certain S-curve. It grows at a steady state until it hits a certain point where it grows exponentially. This exponential growth sustains until the system hits a saturation point where it slows and eventually stops. The S-curve is one of those strange universal laws that shows up all over the place. Similar to how power […]

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HARRY DENT: Central Bankers are Driving Us All Into the Dirt

One of the major triggers I’ve been warning about is already happening, even before we understand and/or admit that we are in a recession. Zero Hedge just picked up on an article from Jeff Cox at CNBC. Global corporate debt now sits at a record $ 51 trillion and is poised to hit $ 75 trillion by 2020 – just four years away. If interest rates rise and the economy slows, it will be very hard for companies to roll these bonds over – and then we get what S&P Global Ratings is calling “Crexit.” The bond markets dry up […]

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What’s Really Driving Apple?

Narratives are a fundamental part of our human existence. They’re the key to how we process information. Just as the mind instinctively searches for visual patterns in nature, it also seeks to derive patterns and meaning from information flow. We create stories to help us understand. We see this in financial markets all the time, though it’s not always a good thing. You’ve heard the talking heads on CNBC. They hop on camera and try to attribute every little market gyration to one news story or another. This type of narrative creation doesn’t make much sense. Most of the day-to-day […]

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