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Stock Market May Have Peaked in Terms of Gold; Gerald Celente: Interest Rates Go Up, This Goes Down”

Welcome to this week’s Market Wrap Podcast, I’m Mike Gleason. Coming up the one and only Gerald Celente of the Trends Journal and one of the top trends forecaster in the world joins me for an explosive interview on the dollar, the growing tensions with North Korea and a wildcard that he sees driving a big run in gold. You will not want to miss an incredible interview with Gerald Celente, coming up after this week’s market update. Well, the invincible U.S. stock market finally came under some selling pressure this week as tensions between the United States and North […]

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Falling Interest Rates Have Postponed “Peak Oil”

Falling interest rates have huge power. My background is as an actuary, so I am very much aware of the great power of interest rates. But a lot of people are not aware of this power, including, I suspect, some of the people making today’s decisions to raise interest rates. Similar people want to sell securities now being held by the Federal Reserve and by other central banks. This would further ramp up interest rates. With high interest rates, practically nothing that is bought using credit is affordable. This is frightening. Another group of people who don’t understand the power […]

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Interest Rate Turn?

Interest rates have bottomed and will rise substantially during the next decade. OR: Interest rates CAN’T rise because rising rates will crash governments, economies, derivatives, equity markets and more. ********************** Consider the chart below for the monthly 10 year T-Note Index of Interest Rates. Date                         Rate             Rate Jan. 2000                  6.82%                       High Nov. 2001                     […]

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Real Interest Rates STILL Negative after Fed Hike

Precious metals markets enter the last trading week before Christmas near multi-month lows. Gold and silver succumbed to another round of selling last Thursday following the Federal Reserve’s rate hike announcement. Bulls are hoping for a Santa Claus rally to take metals into year’s end on a positive note. Bears say “bah humbug” and will aim to keep the intense selling pressure on in the futures markets. The U.S. Dollar Index now trades at a 14-year high. It looks impressive – until you consider all the other currencies that trade against the dollar. Dollar “strength” is really just an expression […]

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We Are Being Set Up For Higher Interest Rates, A Major Recession And A Giant Stock Market Crash

Since Donald Trump’s victory on election night we have seen the worst bond crash in 15 years.  Global bond investors have seen trillions of dollars of wealth wiped out since November 8th, and analysts are warning of another tough week ahead.  The general consensus in the investing community is that a Trump administration will mean much higher inflation, and as a result investors are already starting to demand higher interest rates.  Unfortunately for all of us, history has shown that higher interest rates always cause an economic slowdown.  And this makes perfect sense, because economic activity naturally slows down when […]

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Raising interest rates is not that simple, Lord Hague

The present period of very low interest rates is widely assumed to be temporary, a consequence of the 2008 financial crisis and subsequent central bank action. Because of this, as the financial crisis fades into the mists of time, there is growing political pressure for “normalisation” of interest rates. Here, for example, is William Hague warning that central banks must start to raise rates or face losing their independence: The only way out is for the US Fed to summon the courage to lead the way to higher interest rates, and others to follow slowly but surely. If they fail […]

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Can the Fed Drop Interest Rates Below 0%?

For the financial markets, the biggest event of the week starts tomorrow: On Wednesday and Thursday (Feb. 10-11) Fed chair Janet Yellen will appear before Congress to deliver her semi-annual Monetary Policy Report. “It’s huge.” That’s how one strategist put it this morning, in a CNBC interview about the importance of Yellen’s testimony. Why are all eyes on Yellen? Maybe because by now, almost everyone has forgotten how powerless the Fed appeared in 2007-2009, when none of its measures could stop the financial crisis. Despite the recent market chaos, six years of rising stock prices reaffirmed the notion that the […]

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Negative Interest Rates Are the Next Stage in Global Stimulus

Since late 2008, central banks around the world have used unprecedented QE to try and stoke the global economy. Then in June 2014, the ECB took it a step further. They went negative. Zero short-term interest rates apparently weren’t enough. The ECB realized that if they couldn’t get banks to loan or consumers to spend, why not really light a fire under their ass and tell them: “if you’re not going to spend, you have to pay to keep your money in the bank!” The Swiss thought this was a great idea and did the same in December 2014. Later […]

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The trade effect of negative interest rates

Yesterday, HSBC prepared the ground for imposing negative rates on business depositors. This is an excerpt from HSBC’s letter announcing the necessary change to the Terms & Conditions of HSBC business accounts: Now, this requires some explanation. Firstly, the change applies only to BUSINESS accounts. Retail depositors are unaffected. Secondly, it applies only to currency accounts, not sterling accounts. And thirdly, despite HSBC’s mention of “negative rates set by central banks including the European Central Bank”, the relevant “policy or reference rate” at present is still positive everywhere except Sweden, where the policy rate is currently -0.35%. Central banks set […]

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December 14th To 18th: A Week Of Reckoning For Global Stocks If The Fed Hikes Interest Rates?

Are we about to witness widespread panic in the global financial marketplace?  This week is shaping up to be an absolutely critical week for global stocks.  Coming into December, more than half of the 93 largest stock market indexes in the world were down more than 10 percent year to date, and last week stocks really started to slide all over the world.  Here in the United States, the Dow Jones Industrial Average is down about 600 points over the past week or so, and at this point it is down more than 1000 points from the peak of the […]

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