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Why Trump Won & The Peak of Globalization

Fareed Zakaria just put out a special show on why Trump won: He got the rural white vote in unprecedented margins – like 80% plus. Even before Election Day, we put out an infographic explaining why Trump could win despite the polls. Still, even I was a little surprised when he won! I bring this up again now, not to bash Trump, but to highlight the demographic and cyclical explanation behind his victory. And to show that the events that brought Trump into power aren’t done stirring things up. There’s a lot more to come. Trump is only the beginning… […]

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Falling Interest Rates Have Postponed “Peak Oil”

Falling interest rates have huge power. My background is as an actuary, so I am very much aware of the great power of interest rates. But a lot of people are not aware of this power, including, I suspect, some of the people making today’s decisions to raise interest rates. Similar people want to sell securities now being held by the Federal Reserve and by other central banks. This would further ramp up interest rates. With high interest rates, practically nothing that is bought using credit is affordable. This is frightening. Another group of people who don’t understand the power […]

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Have We Just Reached Peak Stock Market Absurdity?

Have you ever wondered how tech companies that have been losing hundreds of millions of dollars year after year can somehow be worth billions of dollars according to the stock market?  Because I run a website called “The Economic Collapse“, there are naysayers out there that take glee in mocking me by pointing out how well the stock market has been doing.  This week, the Dow is flirting with 21,000 and the Nasdaq crossed the 6,000 threshold for the first time ever.  But a lot of the “soaring stocks” that have been fueling this rally have been losing giant mountains […]

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Peak Bonds Interview With Financial Sense

Last week Tyler linked up with our friend Cris Sheridan at Financial Sense to discuss the peak in the bond market. The last time they talked in July, Tyler explained the asymmetric risks bond investors were facing with yields hitting a lower bound. We saw the result of that asymmetry over the last month as bond markets quickly lost more than $ 1 trillion after the Trump win. In addition to the top in bonds, they also discussed: The dollar breakout The current macro-fundamental backdrop Trumpflation How this market is similar to 1998-1999 The conversation is a great summary of […]

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Trump Selects Wall Street Insiders for Cabinet; Steve St. Angelo on Silver Production Peak on 2015

Welcome to this week’s Market Wrap Podcast, I’m Mike Gleason. Coming up we’ll hear a fascinating interview with Steve St. Angelo of the SRSRocco Report. Steve gives his unique and studied perspective on how peak energy is coming sooner than we think and is ultimately going to be a key driver for higher gold and silver prices. Don’t miss my interview with Steve St. Angelo, coming up after this week’s market update. As investors continue to shuffle their portfolios in preparation for the coming Donald Trump era in Washington, precious metals markets are being overlooked. Gold and silver sold off […]

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China: Is peak coal part of its problem?

The world’s coal resources are clearly huge. How could China, or the world in total, reach peak coal in a timeframe that makes a difference? If we look at China’s coal production and consumption in BP’s 2016 Statistical Review of World Energy (SRWE), this is what we see: Figure 1. China’s production and consumption of coal based on BP 2016 SRWE. Figure 2 shows that the quantities of other fuels are increasing in a pattern similar to past patterns. None of them is large enough to make a real difference in offsetting the loss of coal consumption. Renewables (really “other renewables”) include wind, […]

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U.S. Home Prices Are Hitting Peak Bubble Territory

Two weeks ago, I wrote about an upcoming New York City condominium listing for $ 250 million. I mention this because, as I’ve explained before, it’s always the tallest buildings and priciest condos to get hit during major downturns. Just look at the early 1930s and mid-1970s marking peak bubbles if you don’t believe me! You’ll understand, then, why I smiled when I saw a Forbes slideshow called “The Little Black Book of Billionaire Secrets,” featuring the most expensive homes in each of the 51 states, including Washington D.C. North Dakota held the honor of the least expensive home, at […]

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The Dow Falls Another 364 Points And We Are Now Down 2200 Points From The Peak Of The Market

It was another day of utter carnage on Wall Street.  The Dow was down another 364 points, the S&P 500 broke below 1900, and the Nasdaq had a much larger percentage loss than either of them.  The Russell 2000 has now fallen 22 percent from the peak, and it has officially entered bear market territory.  After 13 days, this remains the worst start to a year for stocks ever, and trillions of dollars of stock market wealth has already been wiped out globally.  Meanwhile, junk bonds continue their collapse.  JNK got hammered all the way down to 33.06 as bond […]

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We are at Peak Oil now; we need very low-cost energy to fix it

This past week, I gave a presentation to a group interested in a particular type of renewable energy–solar energy that is deployed in space, so it would provide electricity 24 hours per day. Their question was: how does the production cost of electricity really need to be? I gave them this two-fold answer: 1. We are hitting something similar to “Peak Oil” right now. The symptoms are the opposite of the ones that most people expected. There is a glut of supply, and prices are far below the cost of production. Many commodities besides oil are affected; these include natural […]

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Stock Market Crash 2015: The Dow Has Already Plummeted 2200 Points From The Peak

Those that watched their stocks steadily increase in value for years are now seeing all of that “wealth” disappear at a staggering pace.  The only way you actually make money in the stock market is if you get out in time, and many Americans are discovering that all or most of their gains have already been wiped out.  At this point, the Dow Jones Industrial Average has dipped below where it was at the end of the 2013 calendar year.  That means that nearly two years of gains have already been obliterated.  On Friday, the Dow was down another 272 […]

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